Oct 23, 2018 

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SHIPPING RATES & BUNKERS

SHIPPING RATES & BUNKERS ( 9:45 am ET )
       
DIRTY TANKER (KT - $/day) VOYAGE SPOT TCE EARNINGS 2018 AVG. RATE
VLCC, 270   AG-FE 37,200 12,700
Suezmax, 130  WAF-UKC 18,700 6,200
Aframax, 70 CAR-USG 41,100 8,400
Panamax, 50  CAR-USG 19,000 7,000
       
CLEAN TANKER (KT - $/day) VOYAGE SPOT TCE EARNINGS 2018 AVG. RATE
MR, 37  UKC-USAC 3,700 6,100
MR, 38  USG-UKC 5,400 700
       
TIME CHARTER (KDWT) 1YR ECO RATE ($/day) NEWBUILD PRICE ($M ) SECONDHAND 5YR PRICE ($M)
VLCC , 200+ 30,000 90.0 61.0
Suezmax, 130-200 20,500 60.0 42.0
Aframax, 80-130 17,250 48.0 29.0
LR2, 80-130 16,500 50.0 30.0
LR1, 60-80 13,750 43.0 26.0
MR, 42-60 13,750 36.0 25.5
Handymax. 30-42 12,500 33.0 23.0
       
US FLAG (KT - $/day) VOYAGE WEEKLY SPOT RATE 2018 AVG. RATE
Handy, 38 USG-USAC 56,067 61,220
       
LNG ($/day) WEEKLY SPOT RATE CURRENT MONTH RATE 2018 AVG. RATE
160M3 Tri-fuel diesel electric (West) 100,000 93,333 71,690
138-150M3 Steam turbine (West) 75,000 70,333 51,000
160M3 Tri-fuel diesel electric (East) 140,000 126,667 64,929
138-150M3 Steam turbine (East) 90,000 78,333 43,048
       
LPG (KT) LAST POSTED SPOT RATE ($/mt) SPOT TCE RATE ($/day) 1yr TIME CHARTER RATE ($/day)                    
VLGC, 44 (AG-Japan) 47.86 27,961 21,382
       
BUNKERS ($/mt) IFO 380  MDO   
US Gulf 463.5 744.5  
Rotterdam 471.5 688.0  
Singapore 516.0 736.5  

ENERGY NEWS

Saudi Arabia signs $50B worth of deals in oil, gas and infrastructure. 

The deals signed on the sidelines of the Future Investment Initiative conference in Riyadh were with international companies including Trafigura, Total, Hyundai, Norinco, Schlumberger, Halliburton and Baker Hughes. Trafigura said it had signed a deal for a joint venture with Saudi's Modern Mining Holding Co. The partnership would develop a copper, zinc and lead integrated smelting and refining complex in Ras Al-Khair Mineral City, said Trafigura. Furthermore, Saudi Aramco signed agreements with 15 international partners worth more than $34B. These deals include an agreement to build an integrated petrochemical complex and downstream park in the second phase of the SATORP refinery, jointly held by Aramco and Total. It also includes investments in retail petrol stations held by Aramco and Total. 

Reuters Oct. 23, 2018

Iran oil production and exports fell after sanction announcement.

Iranian crude oil and condensate exports peaked in June at around 2.7 mbpd, more than 300,000 bpd higher than the average during the first four months of the year. In Sept. that fell to 1.9 mbpd. Volumes to China and India together accounted for about half of Iran's exports of crude and condensate in 1H 2018, averaging 644,000 bpd and 554,000 bpd respectively. Later in Sept, however, China imported 441,000 bpd, the lowest level since Dec. 2015, and India imported 576,000 bpd. Despite efforts by the European Union to protect European companies from the US sanctions, France has not imported from Iran since June while imports from Italy and Spain fell significantly. 

EIA Oct. 23, 2018

US LNG cargo to arrive in China in Nov.

A cargo from Cheniere's  Sabine Pass terminal is scheduled to arrive in China on Nov. 11 according to ship tracking data. This is the first cargo of US LNG scheduled to arrive in China after the government imposed a 10% tariff on US LNG as of Sept. 24

Reuters Oct. 23, 2018

Construction commences on 475MW Brazilian solar park.

When the Sao Goncalo facility is operating, it will have the capacity to produce more than 1,200 GWh annually, offsetting the emission of over 600,000 tons of CO2. The builder, Enel Group, described the park as the largest PV facility currently being built in South America.

CNBC Oct. 23, 2018

COMMODITIES

COMMODITIES, (9:30 am ET )
         
CRUDE SOURCE UNIT LAST PRICE Δ PRIOR DAY CLOSE
Brent  ICE $/bbl 77.92 -1.91
WTI NYMEX $/bbl 67.73 -1.44
Dubai (Spot) Bloomberg $/bbl 76.74 -1.62
         
PRODUCTS SOURCE UNIT LAST PRICE Δ PRIOR DAY CLOSE
RBOB Gasoline  NYMEX ₵/gal 186.00 -4.67
Heating Oil  NYMEX ₵/gal 227.56 -4.25
         
NATURAL GAS SOURCE UNIT LAST PRICE Δ PRIOR DAY CLOSE
US Henry Hub  NYMEX $/MMBtu 3.20 +0.06
UK National Balancing Point ICE $/MMBtu 8.92 -0.22
         
NATURAL GAS  LIQUIDS SOURCE LAST PRICE (₵/gal) LAST PRICE ($/mt) Δ PRIOR DAY CLOSE(₵/gal)
US Mont Belvieu Propane (Spot) Bloomberg 91.50 476.96 -2.50
         
PRICE SPREADS ($/bbl) SOURCE LAST PRICE Δ PRIOR DAY CLOSE
Brent 3-2-1 Crack  ICE 6.00 +0.02

MARKETS

MARKETS, ( 9:30 am ET )
         
EQUITIES REGION/COUNTRY LAST VALUE Δ PRIOR DAY CLOSE
S&P 500 United States 2,755.88 -11.90
FTSE 100 United Kingdom 6,962.04 -80.76
DAX Germany 11,256.66 -267.68
Nikkei Japan 22,010.78 -604.04
SH Composite China 2,594.83 -60.05
         
CURRENCIES REGION/COUNTRY LAST VALUE Δ PRIOR DAY CLOSE
£/$ United Kingdom 1.30 +0.00
€/$ European Union 1.15 +0.00
$/JPY ¥ Japan 112.17 -0.65
$/CNY ¥ China 6.94 -0.01

MARKET ANALYSIS

  • Asphalt: East Coast asphalt prices slipped in many areas last week, with flux prices unchanged. 
  • LNG: At least seven vessels were fixed last week for single and multi-month voyages ex Far East and Middle East during Oct. and Nov. 
  • LPG: The East market last week was not as active as many hoped, as the delayed release of Saudi acceptances seemed to put the brakes on activity levels. The Baltic - and sentiment - stayed relatively flat as rates remained steady in the high - $40s pmt.
  • Oil prices retreat as Saudi pledges to act responsibly. 

EIA US LNG JULY EXPORTS, TOP 3 COUNTRIES BY DESTINATION
(Pipeline, Vessel, Truck)

WEST OF SUEZ (bcf/mth) EAST OF SUEZ (bcf/mth)
Mexico (Pipeline) 147.2 South Korea (Vessel) 14.0
Canada (Pipeline) 57.5 Japan (Vessel) 13.4
Mexico (Vessel) 21.2 China (Vessel) 10.6

EIA US MONTHLY EXPORTS OF CRUDE OIL AND PETROLEUM PRODUCTS
July 2010 - July 2018

EIA US monthly crude oil production Oct

POTEN EVENTS

Nov. 8-9: LNG101: Energy for a Cleaner Future Business Training. Poten and NYU hosting. 

WORLD EVENTS

Oct. 24: EIA Petroleum Status Report, 10:30am, ET.

Oct. 25: EIA  Natural Gas Report, 11:00am, ET. 

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