May 25, 2018 

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SHIPPING RATES & BUNKERS

SHIPPING RATES & BUNKERS ( 10:10 am ET )
       
DIRTY TANKER (KT - $/day) VOYAGE SPOT TCE EARNINGS 2018 AVG. RATE
VLCC, 270   AG-FE 10,700 8,200
Suezmax, 130  WAF-UKC 5,800 200
Aframax, 70 CAR-USG 7,300 5,000
Panamax, 50  CAR-USG 8,500 6,800
       
CLEAN TANKER (KT - $/day) VOYAGE SPOT TCE EARNINGS 2018 AVG. RATE
MR, 37  UKC-USAC 6,700 9,300
MR, 38  USG-UKC (3,000) 2,600
       
TIME CHARTER (KDWT) 1YR ECO RATE ($/day) NEWBUILD PRICE ($M ) SECONDHAND 5YR PRICE ($M)
VLCC , 200+ 25,000 88.0 61.5
Suezmax, 130-200 18,000 60.0 40.0
Aframax, 80-130 15,000 48.0 29.5
LR2, 80-130 15,250 50.0 30.5
LR1, 60-80 14,000 42.0 29.0
MR, 42-60 14,750 36.0 26.5
Handymax. 30-42 12,750 33.0 23.0
       
US FLAG (KT - $/day) VOYAGE WEEKLY SPOT RATE 2018 AVG. RATE
Handy, 38 USG-USAC 66,948 63,707
       
LNG ($/day) WEEKLY SPOT RATE CURRENT MONTH RATE 2018 AVG. RATE
160M3 Tri-fuel diesel electric (West) 47,000 45,667 64,600
138-150M3 Steam turbine (West) 33,000 31,667 42,500
160M3 Tri-fuel diesel electric (East) 36,000 35,333 53,800
138-150M3 Steam turbine (East) 26,000 25,333 33,950
       
LPG (KT) LAST POSTED SPOT RATE ($/mt) SPOT TCE RATE ($/day)                         1yr TIME CHARTER RATE ($/day)                    
VLGC, 44 (AG-Japan) 29.64 4,934 16,447
       
BUNKERS ($/mt) IFO 380  MDO   
US Gulf 445.5 696.5  
Rotterdam 441.0 664.0  
Singapore 460.5 698.5  

ENERGY NEWS

Kansai Electric Power to cut LNG purchases as it opts for nuclear power.

Before the Fukushima nuclear disaster in 2011, the Japanese utility was predominantly reliant on nuclear power. Of the eight reactors that have resumed generating power in Japan – a fifth of available units -  four were from Kansai Electric. On the whole, the company has seven reactors. Kansai has boosted its nuclear plant utilization rate to a six-year high of 18% in 2017/18, after three-years of virtually zero usage. This has contributed to a reduction in its LNG consumption of 16.3%, down to 7.56 MT. The company will focus first on reducing its spot and short-term volumes, which now account for 20%. It will increase the ratio of nuclear, hydro and renewables in its power generation mix up from roughly 25% to more than 50% in the coming years.

Reuters May 25, 2018

Russia discusses 1 mbpd production rise with Saudi Arabia. .

In a meeting held in St Petersburg last night, energy ministers from both countries talked about loosening their commitments to the 17 month-old deal between OPEC members and others which has raised prices. With production from Venezuela falling and concerns over Iran's production rising, some producers have called for easing the deal as prices near $80 bbl. The group will meet on June 22 in Vienna and decide how to proceed.

FT May 25, 2018

National average gasoline prices rise to near $3/gal. gal ahead of Memorial Day.

Gasoline prices averaged $2.92/gal. nationally on May 21, up from last year's $2.40/gal. ahead of the holiday. This stems from a combination of rising crude oil spot prices, higher gasoline demand and falling gasoline inventories. Prices are projected to be higher this summer compared to last as the EIA expects Brent crude to be an average of $22 bbl higher. 

EIA May 25, 2018

Rosneft to supply Ghana and Mongolia with energy.

The Russian oil major announced it is signing long-term contracts worth $2.1B to supply gasoline and diesel fuel to the largest Mongolian importers of oil products. Further, it signed a package of documents to deliver LNG to the port of Tema in Ghana. Under the terms, Rosneft will supply 1.7 Mmta of LNG in a 12-year deal. 

Reuters May 25, 2018

Eni looks to solar.

Italian oil major Eni is working on a joint bid for Terra Firma’s solar assets in Italy with Qatar Petroleum. Private equity investor Terra Firma is looking to sell its RTR solar portfolio in Italy in a deal that is expected to attract more than $1.2B.

Reuters May 25, 2018

 

COMMODITIES

COMMODITIES, (9:40 am ET )
         
CRUDE SOURCE UNIT LAST PRICE Δ PRIOR DAY CLOSE
Brent  ICE $/bbl 77.05 -1.74
WTI NYMEX $/bbl 68.87 -1.84
Dubai (Spot) Bloomberg $/bbl 74.12 -1.62
         
PRODUCTS SOURCE UNIT LAST PRICE Δ PRIOR DAY CLOSE
RBOB Gasoline  NYMEX ₵/gal 219.28 -4.10
Heating Oil  NYMEX ₵/gal 222.54 -4.13
         
NATURAL GAS SOURCE UNIT LAST PRICE Δ PRIOR DAY CLOSE
US Henry Hub  NYMEX $/MMBtu 2.95 0.01
UK National Balancing Point ICE $/MMBtu 7.43 -0.22
         
NATURAL GAS  LIQUIDS SOURCE LAST PRICE (₵/gal) LAST PRICE ($/mt) Δ PRIOR DAY CLOSE(₵/gal)
US Mont Belvieu Propane (Spot) Bloomberg 95.63 498.49 0.75
         
PRICE SPREADS ($/bbl) SOURCE LAST PRICE Δ PRIOR DAY CLOSE
Brent 3-2-1 Crack  ICE 15.29 0.02

MARKETS

MARKETS, ( 9:40 am ET )
         
EQUITIES REGION/COUNTRY LAST VALUE Δ PRIOR DAY CLOSE
S&P 500 United States 2,727.76 -5.53
FTSE 100 United Kingdom 7,710.29 -6.45
DAX Germany 12,899.84 44.75
Nikkei Japan 22,450.79 13.78
SH Composite China 3,141.30 -13.35
         
CURRENCIES REGION/COUNTRY LAST VALUE Δ PRIOR DAY CLOSE
£/$ United Kingdom 1.33 -0.01
€/$ European Union 1.17 -0.01
$/JPY ¥ Japan 109.26 -0.01
$/CNY ¥ China 6.39 0.01

MARKET ANALYSIS

  • Asphalt: Rockies retail price assessments firmed in some areas last week. May wholesale prices were steady. 
  • LPG: Spot propane and butane prices in the ARA region in Europe have risen $99 pmt and $80.5 pmt respectively in just a 6-week period as a combination of bullish crude runs, lower domestic supply and flat US imports have pushed up paper and physical.
  • Oil prices fall behind as Russia and Saudi Arabia consider boosting output. 
  • European shares pulled lower by autos stocks.

MAY POSTED / SPOT PRICES ($/mt)

MAY POSTED / SPOT PRICES ($/mt) Propane Butane
Saudi Aramco 500.00 505.00
Sonatrach 470.00 485.00
OPIS North Sea 462.00 458.50
Spot AG 583.00 583.00
CFR Japan 596.75 597.50

EIA US WORKING NATURAL GAS IN UNDERGROUND STORAGE
(May 2016 - May 2018) 

EIA US Working Natrural Gas in Underground Storage May 18, 2018 -1

POTEN EVENTS

June 18-19: LNG 101 Energy for a Cleaner Future, Poten Training in collaboration with New York University School of Professional Studies. 

WORLD EVENTS

May 25: Baker Hughes Rig Count, 1:oopm, ET.

May 31: EIA Natural Gas s Report, 10:30am, ET. 

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